Last Week’s Results Here’s some advice: if you do gamble, and you ever find yourself ahead, stop. Heading into Week 8, we were up 222.93 units for the season. After a disastrous weekend, we are now down 84.63 units overall. We lost 307.56 units in the blink of an eye. It was a very bad, […]
By the Numbers: Texas Tech and Big 12 Outlook (Week 9)
The worst part of the schedule is over with. Texas Tech’s last four games have been against four of the Big 12’s top half, and all were top 25-30ish teams nationally. Sprinkle in the fact that two were played on the road and one was a coulda-shoulda-woulda won type of game, and I’m choosing to […]
Using Analytics to Inform Gambling Picks (Week 8)
Last Week’s Results I’ll spare you the lengthy commentary and just say that even though we wagered on a lot of action (407 units between matchups straight up and two-game parlays) the final result was as close to a break even as you can get. We walked away with $20 more than we started despite […]
By the Numbers: Texas Tech and Big 12 Outlook (Week 8)
For the second straight week, Texas Tech really showed up and competed with a Top 25 team. Of course, Tech didn’t come out on the winning side in Waco, but let’s see what the analytics say about the second half of the season. ESPN’s Football Power Index Team National Rank FPI Big 12 Title Odds […]
Using Analytics to Inform Gambling Picks (Week 7)
Last Week’s Results Boom! Week 6 was our best week yet, and puts us back in the green on the year. On the 22 units we wagered straight up, we collected 37.4 units for a 15.4 unit profit, a healthy 70 percent rate of return. But it gets better! Pairing the 20 matchups identified as […]
By the Numbers: Texas Tech and Big 12 Outlook (Week 7)
What a fun win on Saturday! Let’s see how much of an effect it had on the analytical models… ESPN’s Football Power Index Team National Rank FPI Big 12 Title Odds Oklahoma 6 24.2 76.1 Iowa State 19 13 4.2 Texas 20 12.9 9.9 Baylor 24 10.5 8.4 Oklahoma State 26 10.2 0.9 TCU 33 […]
Using Analytics to Inform Gambling Picks (Week 6)
Catching Up Sorry I didn’t post the picks last week. Between the Andre Emmett news and traveling for work I couldn’t find the time. I did have enough time to find the picks and record the results, so I’ll update everyone on the last couple weeks and identify the picks for this week. Week 4 […]
By the Numbers: Texas Tech and Big 12 Outlook (Week 6)
My apologies for not posting the Week 5 preview before the Oklahoma game last week. First, I didn’t figure the numbers would have moved much since Texas Tech was coming off of a bye week. Second, with the Andre Emmett news and some travel for work it just got away from me. I’ll be back […]
Using Analytics to Inform Gambling Picks (Week 4)
Last Week’s Results We’re back in the green for a weekend, and were pretty dang close to having a remarkable weekend. We wagered 19 units on 16 matchups, and came away with a profit of 5.04 units there. And we wagered 120 more units by pairing all 16 matchups in two-game parlays, which resulted in […]
By the Numbers: Texas Tech and Big 12 Outlook (Week 4)
Texas Tech has a bye this week, but I still wanted to let everyone know how the analytical models view the Red Raiders heading into Week 4. Please note that I don’t think these models take into account Alan Bowman’s injury, so the outlook is probably worse than what is illustrated below. ESPN’s Football […]