Happy New Year, fellow Red Raiders! With conference play beginning on Saturday I wanted to start up a weekly post going over the analytical predictions for Texas Tech’s season. I’ll typically post early in the week to give an outlook for the Monday, Tuesday, or Wednesday game as well as the game later that weekend. […]
Texas Tech, Clemson, and the Difference a Decade Makes
It has been 10 years to the day that Texas Tech fired Mike Leach, the winningest coach in program history. Personally, I think the matter has been litigated and re-litigated over and over, and I have no interest in arguing here whether he should have been fired or not. While Leach’s tenure did not come […]
Using Analytics to Inform Gambling Picks (Week 13)
Last Week’s Results Simply stated, it was another poor showing this week. As you’ll see below, we are in on a lot of action this week which means one of two things: 1) We have a good week and get closer to even money on the year or 2) We dig ourselves into a really […]
By the Numbers: Texas Tech and Big 12 Outlook (Week 13)
Another tough loss on Saturday, as Texas Tech fell for the third time this year by a margin of 3 points or fewer. Matt Wells said it best in his postgame press conference when he said the team was knocking on the door, and eventually they’ll knock it down. The win-loss column this year is […]
Using Analytics to Inform Gambling Picks (Week 12)
Last Week’s Results Ever since we profited 291 units in Week 6, we’ve had no luck. We’ve had a few bad weeks in a row, so I’m feeling like we’re due. Last Week’s Results: -104.74 units (-$10,474 if betting with $100 units) YTD: -192.82 units (-$19,202) Biggest Movers in Vegas Last Week: 6-2, YTD: 53-33-2 […]
By the Numbers: Texas Tech and Big 12 Outlook (Week 12)
Texas Tech rebounded with a much-needed win in Morgantown. It’s still a shaky road to bowl eligibility, but another win on Saturday would leave fans somewhat optimistic. The Kansas and Baylor losses (and to a lesser extent, Arizona) really sting now. It’s easy for fans to say “coulda, shoulda, woulda”, but Tech could pretty easily […]
Using Analytics to Inform Gambling Picks (Week 11)
Last Week’s Results I missed Week 10, and for that I apologize. Life just got busy. So this will be catching up from Week 9 and looking ahead to Week 11. Week 9 Results: -3.45 units (-$345 if betting with $100 units) YTD: -88.08 units (-$8,808) Biggest Movers in Vegas Week 9: 5-2, YTD: 47-31-2 […]
By the Numbers: Texas Tech and Big 12 Outlook (Week 11)
Well, the easier part of the schedule was supposed to come for Texas Tech after they made it through the gauntlet of Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Baylor, and Iowa State. While Texas Tech’s loss to Kansas was bad enough, Kansas State was impressive in a win over Oklahoma, and TCU looked good beating Texas. The path […]
Using Analytics to Inform Gambling Picks (Week 9)
Last Week’s Results Here’s some advice: if you do gamble, and you ever find yourself ahead, stop. Heading into Week 8, we were up 222.93 units for the season. After a disastrous weekend, we are now down 84.63 units overall. We lost 307.56 units in the blink of an eye. It was a very bad, […]
By the Numbers: Texas Tech and Big 12 Outlook (Week 9)
The worst part of the schedule is over with. Texas Tech’s last four games have been against four of the Big 12’s top half, and all were top 25-30ish teams nationally. Sprinkle in the fact that two were played on the road and one was a coulda-shoulda-woulda won type of game, and I’m choosing to […]