It’s about that time of year where we start thinking about the brackets, or at least I do. I sort of need to get past the conference regular season and see where things sit. I don’t care about the conference tournaments and if things go correctly, we should not care about what happens in the conference tournament at all because the results of it are irrelevant. That is the case this year.
Let’s get to it.
ESPN’s Joe Lunardi thinks that Texas Tech is a 7th seed (trending down of all things) in the South Region (which is Dallas) and starting off in Memphis, Tennessee against Drake, who is an automatic qualifier.
CBS Sports’ Jerry Palm has Texas Tech as a 5 seed in the East Region (which will ultimately be in Boston) and take on James Madison in Pittsburgh
T-Rank’s T-Ranketology also has Texas Tech as a 5 seed (this isn’t by region) and the other 5 seeds are Gonzaga, Auburn, and Texas (who had a much worse Big 12 record, but whatever). Another neat T-Rank thing is TourneyCast (TM) that predicts the T-Ranketology based on 10,000 simulations and says that Texas Tech is an average 6th seed and based on these projections is 100% going to make the tournament and also has a 0.3% chance to win the National Championship. Houston is the clear leader in the clubhouse if you are a betting man/woman.
BracketMatrix basically averages every possible bracket (you have to scroll to the right a decent distance) that is known to man and the average is a 6th seed.
I think the average is that Texas Tech will likely be a 6th seed unless Texas Tech goes on a serious run in the Big 12 Tournament. Yes, I agree with a lot of you in that there are teams that are below Texas Tech in the Big 12 standings that are projected to have a higher seed and I think the thing that I’d take away from that those teams are problably not as good as their seed projects. The Big 12, I think, is a pretty good indicator of what you are. We’ll do this again after the Big 12 Tournament and see where Texas Tech is projected.