Preview & Game Day Thread: TCU vs. Texas Tech

Game Info

Good Guys: Texas Tech Red Raiders (18-6, 7-4)
Bad Guys: TCU Horned Frogs (16-5, 5-4)
When to Watch: Saturday, February 12th @ 3:00 pm
Where to Watch: United Supermarkets Arena | Lubbock, Texas
How to Watch: ESPN+
How to Listen: 97.3 FM | Affiliates | TuneIn App
The Line: Texas Tech -10.5

Advanced Stats

TEXAS TECH STAT TCU
13
KenPom
55
58
KP AdjO
104
3
KP AdjD
28
11
T-Rank
51
65
T-Rank O
101
2
T-Rank D
27
12
Haslemetric
64

Lineups

TEXAS TECH
THE STARTERS Pts / Reb
POINT GUARD Kevin McCullar (6-6/210) 11.0 / 3.4*
SHOOTING GUARD Davion Warren (6-6/215) 10.0 / 2.8
SMALL FORWARD Terrence Shannon, Jr. (6-6/215) 10.9 / 2.5
POWER FORWARD Kevin Obanor (6-8/235) 10.3 / 4.9
CENTER Bryson Williams (6-8/240) 13.3 / 4.5
THE BENCH Pts / Reb
SIXTH MAN Marcus Santos-Silva (6-7/250) 5.0 / 4.1
SEVENTH MAN Adonis Arms (6-5/200) 7.8 / 3.9
EIGHTH MAN Mylik Wilson (6-3/175) 3.7 / 2.1*
NINTH MAN Daniel Batcho (6-11/235) 3.0 / 3.4
TENTH MAN Clarence Nadolny (6-3/200) 3.7 / 1.3
ELEVENTH MAN Chibuzo Agbo (6-7/220) 1.5 / 1.3
TWELFTH MAN KJ Allen (6-6/255) 2.3 / 1.4
THIRTEENTH MAN Austin Timperman (6-9/190) 0.0 / 0.0
TCU
THE STARTERS Pts / Reb
POINT GUARD Mike Miles (6-2/195) 15.4 / 4.2*
SHOOTING GUARD Damion Baugh (6-4/195) 10.8 / 4.0*
SMALL FORWARD Chuck O’Bannon, Jr. (6-6/215) 10.1 / 4.1
POWER FORWARD Emanuel Miller (6-7/215) 10.3 / 6.3
CENTER Eddie Lampkin (6-11/268) 6.2 / 5.9
THE BENCH Pts / Reb
SIXTH MAN Francisco Farabello (6-3/178) 4.9 / 2.6
SEVENTH MAN Micah Peavy (6-7/215) 6.0 / 4.4
EIGHTH MAN Xavier Cork (6-9/228) 3.2 / 3.1
NINTH MAN JaKobe Coles (6-7/225) 3.6 / 2.5
TENTH MAN Souleymane Doumbia (6-11/235) 1.1 / 1.1

* Assists.

Starting 5

1. Stats. Oklahoma’s record said that they weren’t good, but their advanced stats said that they were good. TCU’s record says that they are good, but advanced stats aren’t convinced. What gives? TCU isn’t a good shooting team really at all (Texas Tech is terrible from deep FWIW), 327th in 3-point percentage, 306th in free throw percentage and 149th in 2-point percentage. They also turn the ball over at an extremely high rate, 321st in the nation. They are the BEST offensive rebounding team in the nation and that’s their saving grace. Defensively, they are much better. They do things very well. They limit opponents going to the charity stripe, 24th in free throw rate, 83rd in the nation in opponent 3-point percentage, and 55th in 2-point percentage.

2. Scouting. Miles was maybe out for a couple of games with a bum wrist but should be back for this game. Miles is a high usage player with a high assist rate, but is not a good shooter. O’Bannon is a good player as well, doesn’t turn over the ball and makes 55% of his 2-point shots and 37% of this three’s. Miller and Lampkin are your offensive rebounding fiends, they’ll hit the boards hard and they’re also very good shooters inside the arc. Every player except for O’Bannon and Farabello are terrible 3-point shooters. Let’s hope they don’t get hot.

3. How They Match Up. For the record, Texas Tech is 292nd in 3-point percentage. It’s the one thing they just don’t do well at all. Huge issue if they need to catch up or score points in a hurry. Texas Tech really does everything else quite well, except for free throw percentage and turnover rate, but everything else is okay. Things are always different at home and I think that the sour taste of the Oklahoma game won’t be there tomorrow, but TCU has beat some decent teams (Oklahoma twice and Oklahoma State at home). TCU has Texas Tech twice, Kansas twice, West Virginia twice, Texas and Baylor both on the road so they’re going to be busy (plus Iowa State). They’ve got to play 9 games between now and March 5th and Texas Tech has only 7 (am guessing they had to miss games because of Covid).

4. lagniappe | something given as a bonus or extra gift.

5. Official Site. The official site has their preview right here:

A two-game home stand begins for No. 9 Texas Tech with a Big 12 matchup against TCU at 3 p.m. on Saturday at the United Supermarkets Arena before hosting No. 10 Baylor next Wednesday.

The Red Raiders (18-6, 7-4 Big 12) had a three-game winning streak end with a 70-55 loss at Oklahoma on Wednesday, while the Horned Frogs (16-5, 5-4 Big 12) secured a 77-73 win over Oklahoma State on Tuesday this week. TCU is currently 4-1 in road games, including in Big 12 play against Kansas State, Iowa State and OU but has lost six in a row in Lubbock with its last win at Tech coming in 2015.

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