Game Info
Good Guys: Texas Tech Red Raiders (0-0, 0-0)
Bad Guys: North Florida Ospreys (0-0, 0-0)
When to Watch: Tuesday, November 9th @ 7:00 pm
Where to Watch: United Supermarkets Arena | Lubbock, Texas
How to Watch: ESPN+
How to Listen: 97.3 FM | Affiliates | TuneIn App
The Line: None?
Advanced Stats
| TEXAS TECH | NORTH FLORIDA | |
|---|---|---|
| KenPom | 12 | 235 |
| KP AdjO | 30 | 152 |
| KP AdjD | 4 | 323 |
| T-Rank | 26 | 306 |
| T-Rank O | 54 | 268 |
| T-Rank D | 14 | 318 |
| Haslemetric | 11 | 243 |
Lineups
| THE STARTERS | Pts / Reb | |
|---|---|---|
| POINT GUARD | Kevin McCullar (6-6/210) | 10.4 / 6.3 |
| SHOOTING GUARD | Sardaar Calhoun (6-6/210) | 5.3 / 1.4 |
| SMALL FORWARD | Adonis Arms (6-5/200) | 10.5 / 4.7 |
| POWER FORWARD | Kevin Obanor (6-8/235) | 18.7 / 9.6 |
| CENTER | Bryson Williams (6-8/240) | 15.1 / 7.4 |
| THE BENCH | Pts / Reb | |
| SIXTH MAN | Davion Warren (6-6/215) | 21.2 / 6.3 |
| SEVENTH MAN | Chibuzo Agbo (6-7/220) | 2.0 / 0.8 |
| EIGHTH MAN | Mylik Wilson (6-3/175) | 12.9 5.5 |
| NINTH MAN | KJ Allen (6-6/255) | – / – |
| TENTH MAN | Marcus Santos-Silva (6-7/250) | 8.3 / 6.4 |
| ELEVENTH MAN | Daniel Batcho (6-11/235) | – / – |
| TWELFTH MAN | Terrence Shannon, Jr. (6-6/215) | 12.9 / 4.0 |
| THIRTEENTH MAN | Clarence Nadolny (6-3/200) | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| FOURTEENTH MAN | Austin Timperman (6-9/190) | – / – |
| THE STARTERS | Pts / Reb | |
| POINT GUARD | Jose Placer (6-1/174) | 14.5 / 3.3* |
| SHOOTING GUARD | Emmanuel Adedoyin (6-2/161) | 8.6 / 4.1* |
| SMALL FORWARD | Dorian James (6-7/202) | 8.4 / 5.1 |
| POWER FORWARD | Carter Hendricksen (6-7/217) | 14.9 / 4.8 |
| CENTER | Jonathan Aybar (6-9/183) | 7.3 / 5.0 |
| THE BENCH | Pts / Reb | |
| SIXTH MAN | Jacob Crews (6-7/200) | 4.5 / 1.9 |
| SEVENTH MAN | Jordan Preaster (6-5/200) | – / – |
| EIGHTH MAN | Jarius Hicklen (6-3/175) | – / – |
| NINTH MAN | Chaz Lanier (6-4/175) | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| TENTH MAN | Jadyn Parker (6-10/180) | 4.1 / 2.4 |
* Assists.
Starting 5
1. Stats. There’s only going to be a handful of games that are should be close. This is not one of them based off of the stats from last year. According to T-Rank, Texas Tech has a 97% chance of winning this game and should win by 20+ if that interests you. We’re going to pay a bit more attention to WAB, Wins Above Bubble, this year and you’ll sound smarter for it. Let’s start here with Top Level Sports’ Connor Groel for an introduction:
Wins Above Bubble (WAB) is a different way of evaluating the strength of college basketball teams. Popularized by Seth Burn, WAB calculates the expected winning percentage for an average bubble team in each game of a team’s schedule and then subtracts that total from the team’s actual number of wins.
For example, if an average bubble team would have won 18 games against Team X’s schedule, but Team X only won 17 games, they would have a WAB of -1. By ranking teams by WAB, you can theoretically see what teams are most deserving of making the tournament based on their proven results.
One more explanation from Kansas City Star’s Jesse Newell:
Here’s how it works. Using advanced statistics, Wins Above Bubble (WAB) tells us how often an average Bubble team would be expected to win each game, based on opponent and location.
A short example: For Kansas’ game Wednesday against Kansas State, a Bubble team would be expected to beat K-State 82% of the time.
WAB takes that number to credit or debit a team for every game it plays. So if KU loses, it will get negative-0.82 for performing that much worse than a Bubble team. If it wins, it gets 0.18 added to its total.
Add up every game of the season (KU’s current season total is 2.7, for instance), and you have a number that can be used to quickly compare how “deserving” each team is when it comes to potential placement in the NCAA Tournament.
This already isn’t far off from how it’s done already. Bart Torvik’s publicly available version of WAB closely lined up with the top of last weekend’s NCAA bracket reveal, and in fact, all top four seeds on that day were identical in both: Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan and Ohio State.
Here’s the beauty of switching the selection to WAB, though: Every team will know, in the moment, where they are and what they potentially need to do to get into the field as an at-large.
So as an example for Texas Tech and North Florida, if North Florida would win this game, they would get a credit of .72 for the win and debited .28 if they lose. This would be monumental in terms of them making the NCAA Tournament. For Texas Tech they only get credit for .04 if they win this game and would be debited .96 if they lose.
2. Scouting. I won’t write a ton about North Florida. Placer is the scoring guard and a good passer. Adedoyin is the best passer on the team while Hendrickson is a good scorer. They essentially return their starting 6 from what I can tell, or a good group of guys return from last year. They appear to be terrible defensively and okay offensively.
3. How They Match Up. This is difficult to do because we really don’t know what these teams are going to do. I always like to mention a few caveats regarding the information in the tables above. The starting 5 is an absolute shot in the dark on my end of things. It is a best guess with the Arms insertion into the lineup simply because I think he’s a good defender and I think the second team needs some scoring coming off the bench.
After the first game the starting 5 is based off of who started the prior game and the 6th through 14th players are based off of minutes played. Lots of times during the season I get run out of time and don’t make adjustments based off of playing time, but the point and rebound averages are accurate each game.
I have Shannon and Nadolny at the end of the list because I understand that Nadolny is injured and on his way to recovering. Texas Tech released a statement on Sunday stating that Terrence Shannon, Jr. was being held out of games as a precaution to make sure he didn’t violate any NCAA rules while he had declared for the NBA Draft.
4. lagniappe | something given as a bonus or extra gift.
Ready for us? #Ŧogether | @emwdigital_ pic.twitter.com/mq3zzG0uJp
— Texas Tech Basketball (@TexasTechMBB) November 9, 2021
Believe in each other. #Ŧogether | @covhs pic.twitter.com/KizaOL1Ull
— Texas Tech Basketball (@TexasTechMBB) November 6, 2021
5. Official Site. The official site has their preview right here:
A new era of Texas Tech basketball begins this week with head coach Mark Adams leading the Red Raiders against North Florida in the season opener at 7 p.m. on Tuesday at the United Supermarkets Arena.
“We want to be the most aggressive team on the court every time we play,” Adams said. “That’s on both ends of the court. We are going to play with a lot of intensity and make sure we always have effort and energy. Our team is ready to get started. We’re still a work in progress, but it’s time to get going. The objective will be to get this team better with each game and get ready for Big 12 competition.”
The Red Raiders begin the season with a three-game home stand which also includes hosting Grambling at 7 p.m. on Friday and then Prairie View A&M on Monday, Nov. 15 at the USA. Tech has been a dominant program in non-conference home games, going 57-1 at the USA in non-conference games over the past seven years. The program is 167-16 in non-conference home games since opening the USA in 1999.