First Look . . . Texas Tech vs. Baylor

1 . . .

GAME THINGS
Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-2, 1-1)
Baylor Bears (5-0, 2-0)
October 12th @ 3:00 p.m.
McLane Stadium – Waco, Texas
Baylor ?
FS1 | FOX Sports Go
Mostly Sunny, 70-49.

Baylor has gotten off to a terrific start, undefeated on the year. Two early non-conference wins over SFA and UTSA were blowouts. Then Baylor went on the road and struggled against Rice (but won, which is really important), 21-13. Then a hard-fought win over Iowa State at home, 23-21, and then going on the road for a win and holding Kansas State to just 12 points, 31-12. Anytime that you can go and get a win on the road, that’s big deal.

Also, a slight edit as I’ve been told that Baylor is a 10.5 or 11 point favorite, but the site that I use, OddsShark, doesn’t have it available just yet.

2. . . .

Offensively, Charlie Brewer is the signal-caller, completing 66% of his passes for 1,200 yards and 8.5 yards per attempt with 11 touchdowns and 0, yes 0, interceptions. The rushing attack appears to be 3 main running backs, John Lovett, JaMycal Hasty, and Trestan Ebner. Lovett has 41 carries for 312 yards and averages 7.6 yards per rush, Hasty has 35 rushes for 179 yards and 5.1 yards per rush, and Ebner has 26 carries for 5.8 yards per rush. A lot like Texas Tech in that they don’t necessarily have one guy that’s leading the charge and may be a situation where it’s a hot-hand gets the ball. Three receivers lead the way, Denzel Mims has 29 catches for 438 yards and 15 yards a catch, Tyquan Thorton has 20 catches for 328 yards and 16.4 yards a catch, and R.J. Sneed has 17 catches for 203 yards and 11.9 yards per catch.

3 . . .

The leading tackler is linebacker Clay Johnston, who has 48 tackles, and 2.5 sacks. Defensive tackle James Lynch has really been getting to the quarterback, 6 sacks this year thus far, and TAMU transfer defensive end James Lockhart has 2.5 sacks on the early year. Only 3 interceptions on the year for Baylor overall and Baylor is only 73rd in turnovers, so not a high turnover team. Baylor’s been really good at limiting opposing offenses in running the ball, 28th overall, and they’re 40th in passing yards given up. I don’t know that the Bears have played any real offensive teams (UTSA is 119th in SP+ offense, Rice is 110th, but Iowa State and Kansas State are 19th and 35th).

4 . . .

Baylor really sort of gutted out a win against Kansas State. Brewer only threw for 230 yards, so not lighting the world on fire, had over 400+ yards of offense, but only 158 on the ground. Converted only 2 of 9 first downs, but didn’t turn the ball over while Kansas State turned the ball over twice.

5 . . .

Let’s just try a simple table. The number of votes for each rating at each position.

Rating 1 2 3 4 5
Quarterback 0 1 36 151 51
Running Backs 0 0 49 153 36
Receivers and Tight Ends 0 2 52 151 33
Offensive Line 0 2 53 134 49
Defensive Line 0 2 20 103 113
Linebackers 0 2 14 84 138
Safeties 0 14 82 98 42
Cornerbacks 1 12 88 105 31
Special Teams 5 38 111 66 16
Offensive Coordinating 1 4 53 139 42
Defensive Coordinating 0 3 11 112 113
Head Coaching 2 1 26 138 72
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